Research
Job Market Paper
Does Cash Buy Credit? Evidence from the Timing of Child-Related Tax Benefits
Many families are financially fragile after the birth of a first child, but it is unclear whether cash transfers can have lasting effects on their financial well-being. I link California birth records to a panel of first-time parents' credit reports and leverage a discontinuity in child-related tax benefits that shifts their first receipt by about one year across otherwise similar families. Regression discontinuity estimates show that among financially vulnerable mothers, earlier receipt relaxes borrowing constraints and produces persistent gains: in the third year after the birth, debt in collections is 8% lower, credit limits are 4% higher, and credit card balances are 5% higher. I also find suggestive evidence that mortgage holding rises after the initial credit improvements and that the credit expansion extends to the family as a whole. Financially non-vulnerable mothers show no comparable response, suggesting that the timing of transfers has durable impacts where liquidity constraints bind.
UCSD Labor/Public Workshop, 2026 All-California Labor Economics Conference (poster), (scheduled) 2026 APPAM Annual Conference, 2026 NTA Annual Conference
Working Papers
Crowded at Birth: Lasting Effects of Maternity Ward Crowding in California
We study how overcrowding during a woman's first childbirth influences both clinical practices and subsequent healthcare choices, using comprehensive administrative records on all California births between 1989 and 2017. Leveraging quasi-random, within-hospital variation in daily number of patients, we find that overcrowding reduces the intensity of medical interventions—such as C-sections, epidurals, inductions, and augmentations—consistent with efforts to relieve physician workload. Despite these adjustments, we find no detectable adverse effects on immediate maternal or infant health. Looking beyond the initial birth, we show that overcrowding does not alter future fertility but significantly increases the likelihood that mothers switch hospitals for subsequent deliveries. We find no systematic patterns in hospital selection, indicating that switching is driven primarily by negative first-birth experiences.
2025 ASHEcon Annual Conference, 2025 All-California Labor Economics Conference (poster), 2025 SEA Annual Meeting
By coauthor: UCSD Labor/Public Workshop, 2025 WEAI Annual Conference
The Financial Impacts of Pregnancy and Childbirth
Pregnancy and childbirth mark a major transition for households, but evidence is scarce on their financial costs, families' use of credit markets, and how the burden is split between parents. We build a novel dataset linking parents in California birth records to their quarterly credit reports, and use a staggered difference-in-differences design to trace their financial trajectories around a first birth. We document substantial balance sheet restructuring: mothers see a sharp decline in credit card balances after conception that persists into the postpartum period, and a rise in mortgage holdings during pregnancy that then plateaus. Indicators of financial distress rise after birth, plausibly reflecting new consumption commitments that households cannot easily scale back. Fathers' trajectories track mothers', in contrast to the gendered "child penalty" in earnings. Privately insured mothers drive the deterioration in financial well-being, while Medicaid mothers are less adversely affected, consistent with expanded safety net eligibility buffering the shock.
UCSD Labor/Public Workshop, 2026 ASHEcon Annual Conference (poster), 2026 WEAI Annual Conference
Work in Progress
Retirement Age Thresholds and the Economic Well-Being of Older Americans
UCSD Labor/Public Workshop
The Intergenerational Effects of Childhood Cash Transfers
2025 SEA Annual Meeting
